382 thousand new hires are forecast by companies for the month of November and 1.2 million for the November-January trimester. The levels of demand for labour by companies remain higher than those recorded in the same period prior to Covid (+33 thousand compared to November 2019, +95 thousand compared to the trimester), more easily comparable to the current context, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and dynamics linked to inflation. In fact, the decline recorded this month compared to the same period in 2021 (-82 thousand) reflects the “rebound" effect experienced last year which led to a 6.7% increase in the GDP.

The difficulty in recruiting that concerns 46.4% of the profiles sought, a value about 8 per cent higher than a year ago, is still growing. On average, it takes 3.9 months to find difficult-to-recruit candidates on the market.

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An inflow of 477 thousand is planned by companies for October and 1.2 million for the October-December trimester, with a decrease compared to the previous year of 5.4% during the month and 10.4% in the trimester. The less favourable prospects, due to the slowing down of the global and European economy mainly linked to the increase in energy prices, inflation and the geopolitical situation, weigh mainly on the recruitment programmes of manufacturing (-28.0% during the month and -26.5% in the trimester), commerce (-5.8% during the month and -11.2% in the trimester) and business services companies (-8.6% during the month and -15.1% in the trimester). Despite the decline in recruitment forecasts, the share of new hires that companies consider difficult to achieve reaches 45.5%, a figure 9 per cent higher than a year ago.

Company forecasts in September, equal to 524 thousand, decrease by -2 thousand (-0.4%) compared to a year ago. Negative trend also confirmed for the September-November 2022 trimester in which the planned new hires slightly exceed 1.4 million with a decrease of -3.0% compared to the same trimester of 2021. The manufacturing sector is slowing down (-13.6%, equal to -15 thousand positions compared to September 2021, and -13.4% for the September-November trimester) and above all commerce (-30.0%, with a trend decrease of more than 25 thousand contracts, and -33.0% in the September-November trimester). However, the positive trend in construction continues: An inflow of 57 thousand is planned in the month and 154 thousand in the trimester (+37.3% compared to 12 months ago and + 30.4% compared to the same trimester of 2021).

Difficulty in recruiting reported by companies is still growing and involves 43.3% of planned new hires, up by almost 7 per cent compared to September 2021 when the mismatch between supply of and demand for work concerned 36.4% of the profiles sought.

285 thousand is the number of workers sought by companies for the month of August and it increases to about 1.3 million for the entire August-October trimester. Compared to a year ago, there is growth in company forecasts with +27 thousand new hires planned in the month (+10.8%) and +70 thousand units in the trimester (+5.7%). The economic comparison with respect to the previous month shows a decline in the demand for work due to the natural seasonality (-221 thousand inflow).

The industry as a whole is seeking 81 thousand professional profiles, of which 55 thousand to be employed in manufacturing and 26 thousand in construction. Services as a whole plan an inflow of 204 thousand. The difficulty in recruiting declared by the companies regards a total of 41.6% of planned new hires (8.9 percentage points more than last year). Emerging among the sectors that encounter the greatest criticalities are the metallurgical and metal products industries (55.6% of the profiles difficult to recruit), the wood and furniture industries (53.7%) and construction (52.7%).

Job opportunities offered by companies in July amount to about 505 thousand: industry is planning an inflow of about 130 thousand (-1,390 new hires compared to June, about -7 thousand compared to July 2021), while in the services sector companies plan to activate about 375 thousand employment contracts (down by 52 thousand units compared to a month ago). 41 thousand new hires are expected in the construction sector, down compared to June (-10.5%), but up compared to twelve months ago (+4.2%). Growth can be seen in recruiting difficulty, at 40.3%, about 10 points higher compared to July 2021, a difficulty mainly attributable to the lack of candidates. Encountering the greatest challenges on the market are the metallurgy and metal products companies (about 56% of the profiles sought are difficult to recruit) followed by the wood-furniture industries (55%) and ICT services and construction companies (both 54%).